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Survey data on Americans' (mis)understanding of the scientific process does not show meaningful changes over time (with some variations due to coding of open-ended data). In the most recent SEI survey, one in three Americans (36%) misunderstood the concept of probability; half of the population (49%) was unable to provide a correct description of a scientific experiment; and three in four (77%) were unable to describe the idea of a scientific study, indicating an inability among "[m]any members of the public ... to differentiate a sound scientific study from a poorly conducted one and to understand the scientific process more broadly" (11). While there is limited empirical work on the effects of hype or overclaims on misperceptions about science being wrong or producing contradictory findings (84), survey data suggests that these kinds of concerns are not completely unfounded. In national surveys, one in four Americans (27%) think that it is a "big problem" and almost half of Americans (47%) think it is at least a "small problem" that "[s]cience researchers overstate the implications of their research." Only one in four (24%) see no problem. In other words, while levels of confidence in the scientific community remain high (11), science may run the risk of undermining its position in society in the long term if it does not navigate this area of public communication carefully and responsibly.
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